Analysing illness absence trends

The data for our school fluctuates a lot so it is hard to see a clear trend but if a curve of best fit was drawn, it could be deduced that there was a rise in absences as the number of people ill increased. What we need is to have the absences rise just before the number of people ill increases. The timing for the flu outbreak was unfortunate because it occurred during the Christmas where there is no school absences data. Due to this, it is difficult to draw any accurate conclusion from the data. We just have to wait for another widespread outbreak during school time.
 
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